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AI-generated weekly market briefs, by country

🇹🇷 Türkiye — Weekly Briefs

Türkiye — BIST Volatile as IMF Growth Cut and S&P Watchlist Weigh on Sentiment
🇹🇷 TürkiyeJuly 20, 2026

BIST Volatile as IMF Growth Cut and S&P Watchlist Weigh on Sentiment

The week of July 13-20, 2026 featured continued volatility in Turkish equities amid the lingering impact of the IMF's July 8 downgrade of its 2026 GDP forecast to 2.9%. S&P Dow Jones placed Turkey on a watchlist for potential frontier-market status downgrade. Progress toward a one-year Ceyhan oil pipeline agreement with Iraq provided some positive backdrop, while the central bank held its policy rate at 37% ahead of the July 23 meeting. Investors monitored data-dependent policy and external risks.

AI Weekly Brief3 min
Türkiye — IMF cuts Turkey 2026 growth forecast to 2.9% on July 8
🇹🇷 TürkiyeJuly 13, 2026

IMF cuts Turkey 2026 growth forecast to 2.9% on July 8

The past week featured the IMF's second downward revision to Turkey's 2026 growth outlook and the central bank's signal that it awaits July inflation data and clarity on regional conflicts before considering further easing. Equity markets showed mixed daily moves with the BIST 100 fluctuating near 14,000-14,300 levels. A bilateral meeting between Presidents Trump and Erdogan occurred early in the week. These developments underscore ongoing caution in monetary policy amid external uncertainties.

AI Weekly Brief3 min
Türkiye — Türkiye Inflation Falls to 32.1% Amid Steady Policy and Market Gains
🇹🇷 TürkiyeJuly 6, 2026

Türkiye Inflation Falls to 32.1% Amid Steady Policy and Market Gains

Türkiye's annual inflation eased to 32.1% in the latest reading released early July, continuing a disinflation trend despite geopolitical pressures. The central bank maintained its policy rate at 37% in prior meetings while monitoring energy costs. Equity markets showed resilience with the BIST 100 advancing toward 14,500 levels by week-end. Trade deficit widened modestly for the year to June.

AI Weekly Brief2 min
Türkiye — Borsa Istanbul Steady Near 14,274 Amid Elevated Inflation and Policy Hold
🇹🇷 TürkiyeJune 29, 2026

Borsa Istanbul Steady Near 14,274 Amid Elevated Inflation and Policy Hold

Turkey's equity market showed resilience midweek with the BIST 100 near 14,274 points, reflecting limited volatility despite ongoing regional energy price pressures. The central bank's decision to maintain the policy rate at 37% earlier in the month continues to anchor expectations, while May inflation at 32.61% underscores persistent price pressures. Q1 GDP growth of 2.5% provides context for a moderating expansion. Investors are monitoring cross-border flows and domestic demand trends in a high-uncertainty environment.

AI Weekly Brief3 min
Türkiye — Turkish Central Bank Holds Rate at 37% Amid Ongoing Inflation Pressures
🇹🇷 TürkiyeJune 22, 2026

Turkish Central Bank Holds Rate at 37% Amid Ongoing Inflation Pressures

Over the past week, Turkey's central bank maintained its policy rate at 37 percent for a third consecutive meeting while monitoring the effects of regional conflict on inflation. May inflation rose to 32.61 percent year-over-year, with the lira trading near 46.46 per USD and the BIST 100 showing modest weekly fluctuations around 14,700-14,800. Finance officials highlighted war-related disruptions adding to price pressures, keeping investor focus on monetary policy continuity and external risks.

AI Weekly Brief3 min
Türkiye — Turkey central bank holds policy rate at 37% amid elevated inflation
🇹🇷 TürkiyeJune 15, 2026

Turkey central bank holds policy rate at 37% amid elevated inflation

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey kept its one-week repo rate unchanged at 37% on June 11 for the third consecutive meeting, citing persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions. May inflation data released earlier in the period showed annual CPI rising to 32.61%, with the lira extending its gradual depreciation toward 46.27 per USD by mid-June. These developments underscore ongoing challenges to the disinflation trajectory despite the maintained tight policy stance.

AI Weekly Brief3 min
Türkiye — CBRT Prepares June 11 Rate Decision After May Inflation Print and Karahan Comments
🇹🇷 TürkiyeJune 8, 2026

CBRT Prepares June 11 Rate Decision After May Inflation Print and Karahan Comments

The past week centered on fresh inflation data and central bank communications ahead of the June 11 Monetary Policy Committee meeting. Annual consumer price inflation rose modestly to 32.61% in May from 32.37% in April, with the monthly rate at 1.71%. Central Bank Governor Fatih Karahan stated on June 6-7 that Türkiye's reinforced buffers and current account trajectory position the economy to withstand global shocks. Markets and analysts are watching for any signals on whether the policy rate will remain at 37% or see adjustment amid ongoing geopolitical pressures from regional conflict.

AI Weekly Brief3 min
Türkiye — Turkey Q1 GDP Growth Misses Forecasts at 0.1% QoQ
🇹🇷 TürkiyeJune 4, 2026

Turkey Q1 GDP Growth Misses Forecasts at 0.1% QoQ

Turkey's economy expanded just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2026 on a seasonally adjusted basis, well below expectations, as tighter monetary policy and elevated energy costs weighed on activity. The print, released June 1, marked a sharp slowdown from the prior quarter and highlighted the impact of geopolitical pressures on growth. The central bank maintained its policy rate at 37% amid ongoing disinflation efforts, with the next decision due June 11.

AI Weekly Brief3 min
Türkiye — Turkey Q1 GDP Expands Just 0.1% q/q as Energy Costs and Tight Policy Weigh
🇹🇷 TürkiyeJune 3, 2026

Turkey Q1 GDP Expands Just 0.1% q/q as Energy Costs and Tight Policy Weigh

Turkey's economy expanded only 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2026, well below expectations, reflecting the impact of sustained high interest rates and elevated energy prices linked to regional conflict. Annual inflation rose to 32.37% in April, prompting the central bank to maintain its policy rate at 37%. Growth forecasts for 2026 have been revised lower by the IMF and others to around 3.4% or below. Investors focused on Türkiye may monitor upcoming inflation data and the June monetary policy meeting for signals on the duration of the tight stance.

AI Weekly Brief3 min